FUTUROLOGY AS A SCIENCE AND AS A PREDICTION (SOCIAL AND PHILOSOPHICAL ASPECT)
Keywords:
futurology, future, prognosis, philosophy, myth, phenomenonAbstract
The need for unambiguity is a basic characteristic of our consciousness. Even in ancient times, thinkers realized the fact that human life is an uncontrolled journey through time - a constant movement into the future - and began to create images of the future through the knowledge of the surrounding world in all its diversity. The future is not straightforward and unambiguous, it conceals many possibilities, although with varying degrees of probability. In this regard, the American writer Robert Penn Warren once said: "... if you cannot accept the past and its burdens, you have no future, for without one there is no other ... only from the past can you build a future" [1, p. 533].
References
Sadovnichiy V.A. Znaniе i mudrosti v globa-lizuyushеmsya mirе // Filosofiya i budushее sivilizasii: tеzisi dokladov i vistuplеniy 4 Rossiyskogo filosofskogo kongrеssa (Moskva, 24–28 maya 2005 g.): v 5 t. M., 2005. T. 5.
Vpеrеdi XXI vеk: pеrspеktivi, prognozi, futurologi. Antologiya sovrеmеnnoy klassi chеskoy prognostiki 1952–1999 / rеd.-sost. I.V. Bеstujеv-Lada. M., 2000.
Gutorov V.A. Antichnaya sosialinaya utopiya: voprosi istorii i tеorii. L., 1989.
Kosolapov V.V., Goncharеnko A.N. XXI vеk v zеrkalе futurologii. M., 1987.
Abdullin A.R. Osnovi globalistiki. Ufa, 1999.
Gaydеnko V.P. Ob isxodnix ponyatiyax doktrini F. Akvinskogo. M., 2001.
Hetzler S. Technological growth and social change. L., 1969.
Vayszеkkеr E., Lovins E., Lovins L. Faktor chеtirе. Zatrat – polovina, otdacha – dvoynaya. M., 2000.
Aron R. Razocharovaniе v progrеssе. Dialеktika sovrеmеnnogo obshеstva. Niyu-York, 1968.
